Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 64.564433 73.107893 81.879536 91.525956 101.804674 112.399826 124.116841
2025-06-22 52.194661 64.495322 77.726943 92.883497 109.637059 127.473250 147.783565
2025-06-29 43.538272 57.692191 73.477324 92.107998 113.237412 136.225354 162.902542
2025-07-06 36.089031 51.237632 68.728618 89.947407 114.564495 141.848886 174.016038
2025-07-13 33.092116 49.583077 69.134098 93.334232 121.866746 153.900513 192.074137
2025-07-20 29.948763 47.369233 68.566375 95.311799 127.321187 163.682058 207.430415
2025-07-27 26.170171 43.963630 66.236210 94.911443 129.762554 169.821621 218.481229
2025-08-03 22.742714 40.677352 63.781288 94.121740 131.543691 175.037346 228.337126
2025-08-10 20.314405 38.505958 62.558168 94.696361 134.838310 181.930558 240.064705
2025-08-17 17.714403 35.837870 60.492377 94.047101 136.510283 186.802842 249.348781
2025-08-24 15.738176 33.881535 59.226166 94.297221 139.194884 192.813457 259.921394
2025-08-31 13.577479 31.422164 57.110066 93.309478 140.230690 196.760225 267.984944
2025-09-07 12.337138 30.314129 56.827994 94.728064 144.324436 204.476080 280.644925
2025-09-14 11.244224 29.337423 56.663988 96.260442 148.542208 212.343442 293.506696
2025-09-21 9.637322 27.300806 54.836832 95.444897 149.675102 216.368925 301.699678
2025-09-28 7.882729 24.758282 52.094239 93.242535 148.910891 217.972322 306.897668
2025-10-05 7.598521 24.924718 53.434163 96.700014 155.530344 228.760715 323.285231
2025-10-12 7.025625 24.462356 53.766103 98.718793 160.248765 237.175191 336.785094
2025-10-19 6.017600 22.986799 52.427787 98.310127 161.716309 241.486173 345.243717
2025-10-26 5.050025 21.432855 50.864256 97.504024 162.600109 245.023704 352.725250
2025-11-02 4.422975 20.526779 50.292774 98.090585 165.320760 250.868912 363.045893
2025-11-09 3.672682 19.183613 48.910294 97.427831 166.311936 254.486167 370.590314
2025-11-16 3.137188 18.260069 48.177041 97.683154 168.521360 259.642065 380.037517